Tuesday, June 9, 2009

Back in San Luis Obispo!
Stopping in Stockton at In and Out Burger for lunch.
Headed back to SLO . . .
John is off to meet with Sam Blakeslee . . .
The $5B to $6B that Abel Maldonado mentioned yesterday will not address the need.
John says we will need $15B to $16B in cuts to get our credit rating to a point where we can afford to borrow this money.
We are the lowest credit rated state.
Looking at a $25B negative cash position in July of next year according to John. We will need to borrow short term to cover this.
Many special funds have been tapped during this time by the state to run the state: oil spill recovery fund, disaster recovery fund . . .
CA has not operated net cash positive since July 12, 2007.

Meeting with John Chiang, State Controller.

Meeting with Thomas Sheehy.
Thomas does not believe that the state's economy will improve any time soon.
Thomas Sheehy believes that borrowing from the cities will be necessary, and believes that the legislature will approve it. This is provided for under Prop. 1A.

Thomas recommends that cities look at revenue anticipation bonds to address the state borrowing.

All general fund support for State Parks has been eliminated in the May Revise. Healthy Families has also been eliminated.

Ready to meet with Thomas Sheehy, Chief Deputy Director for Policy, Department of Finance.
We are discussing the affect of state and federal mandates on cuts made in places like education.
We are discussing the economic impact on the local economy and tax base of cuts proposed to the State Parks.
We will not see the governor's office supporting revenue solutions, e.g., sin taxes, etc.
Michael belives the greater question is whether there is the polital will to make the long term reforms to, e.g., prisions, pensions, etc.
Michael believes there is the political will to make the cuts needed to solve the budget problem. What it looks like is not clear.
The federal receiver's oversight of the medical aspects of the corrections system also complicates the budget solution process.
One of the issues that is affecting the budget process in CA is some of the strings attached to the stimulus money, and other federal money.
The governor generally opposes the borrowing of money from cities as a solution to the budget crisis.
The firefighters union and other unions favor AB 155. They feel wronged by what happened in Valejo.
Talking about AB 155, which prohibits cities from declaring bankruptcy without permission from the state. The League of Cities opposes this.

Meeting with Michael Prosio, Deputy Chief of Staff and Legislative Secretary, Office of the Governor.
FWD: slotribune: Most California lawmakers take full pay despite state shortfall http://tinyurl.com/mrocmn

We had a nice tour of the governor's office.

The chamber delegation assembles for a meeting at the Governor's office.

The inscription below the statue in the rotunda has particular meaning today.

FWD:

The chamber delegation tours the rotunda area.

Inside the California State Capitol building rotunda.

Monday, June 8, 2009

Day one in Sacramento . . .

I guess the most telling comment from Sacramento today came from Mike Madrid of the League of California Cities, who said that however bad the media is reporting the State budget situation to be, it is worse, much, much worse.

Both Mike and Steve Poizner, Insurance Commissioner (and candidate for governor), said, however, that they believe that the state of the State budge presents a very rare opportunity to fix some things in Sacramento.

The key questions being asked as how much will the state cut verses how much will the state borrow -- read this as how much will the state take from the cities, and counties. The possibilities for revenue based solutions left the building when proposition 1A failed by more than 60%. And, the borrowing scenario went at least part way out the door with proposition 1C failed by a similar margin.

Mike Madrid reported to us that this opportunity may be reflected in a greater control being placed in the hands of local government -- local government is still viewed as more accountable, and more transparent than state government.

Another issue that Mike suggested may be raised as a result of this opportunity relates to the constitution of the legislature. This was manifest in two issues: (1) the possibility of a part time legislature, and (2) the possibility of increasing the size of the legislature. The latter proposal seems to be more difficult than the former, because the electorate seems unlikely to create more politicians, but there are a couple of points in favor of this proposal: (1) the legislature is the same size as it was when the state population was 300,000; and (2) state senators represent more than twice as many people as a member of congress, which can affect accountability.

Abel Maldonado also mentioned the possibility of a part time legislature, and voiced his support for this concept, perhaps a legislature that meeting for 15 days early in the year, and then a few months later for 45 days, and then went home. Some limit would be needed on special sessions.

Mike also voiced his desire to see term limits eliminated, and campaign finance reform, as it exists now in the state of California, eliminated.

Finally, Mike mentioned the sentiment that his sources are indicating that the electorate feels that the legislature is incapable of solving the current budget issues of the state.

Mike also cited the figure that 25% of the state budget needs to go away in order to get us through the current crisis. He further stated that current indications are that the state will be out of money some time between week or two from now, and the middle of July.

Mike indicated that since the 2004 to 2005 time frame $10B more is being spent in California on education, but the numbers of students being served has actually declined during this same time.

Finally, Mike said that "there will be cuts everywhere." For example, there are proposals to eliminate the state's poison control center, and to completely eliminate state welfare programs.

Jon Coupal, President of the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association, was asked to speculate on Sam Blakeslee's proposal to call a state constitutional convention. Jon's view was that this is not likely to happen.

Jon also would not take borrowing money from the cities off the table, as Abel Maldonado would. (Sam Blakeslee would leave it on the table.)

Jon said that the state was #1 in terms of the total taxes levied on our residents.

Jon proposes, when asked what he would do to solve the budget problems in our state, eliminating many state boards and commissions, reforming PERS and STERS, and believes that going forward state employees should be invited to participate in a 401(k) plan in lieu of these programs.

Jon also expressed some receptiveness to reducing the requirement for 2/3 approval for passage of a state budget, perhaps in exchange for a 2/3 requirement for ALL fees AND taxes, as opposed to just for taxes, as is presently the law.

Lot's to think about.

We met with Ruth Coleman, Director of the California State Parks. Ruth serves at the pleasure of the governor, and thus has a responsibility to support the governor's budget, but at the same time is in the position of having her department effectively completely eliminated in the current budget proposal.

Ruth's department can be a significant economic driver (and thus tax driver), and evidence of this is needed to make the case for our state parks. This is as contracted to characterizing our state parks as recreation sources, which is presently a less compelling reason to keep the state parks around under the current budget crisis.

Ruth's state suggested that about $2 is generated for state and local governments for each $1 spent by the state, but that not all of this comes back as direct revenue of the state parks.

The most costly parks are historical and cultural in nature. The most profitable parks include the Orange County beaches, OHV area, Asilimar, Hearst Castle, and the State Railroad Museum. But, as parks are closed, starting with the least profitable, after about 10% of the parks are closed, one reaches a slippery slope after which all of the parks may as well be closed, as the money brought in by the more profitable parks does not provide enough revenue to cover the cost of providing basic services/maintenance in the parks that are less profitable.

Ruth also stated that it was likely that user fees would double in state parks, but noted that there was elasticity in these fees, and thus usage would likely decline with higher fees, so there is a limit to how much of the problem can be addressed with this solution.

We also had good meetings to Abel Maldonado, who talked about his decision to vote for the state budget proposal, and his frustration with some legislators who opposed tax increased in the budget, but now refuse to identify spending cuts that they are willing to support.

Dinner was with Sam Blakeslee, who has recently assumed the role of Assembly Minority Leader. As such Sam has been consumed with the budget process over the recent weeks.

When asked about whether there would be a borrowing of funds from cities and counties, Sam's feeling was that this was more likely not to occur than to occur.

A number of our contingent has headed out for an evening in Sacramento.

Tomorrow will begin at 8:30 a.m. in the hotel lobby as we head over for a tour of the Governor's Office, and several meetings in the office, followed by a meeting with State Controller John Chiang.
Had dinner with Sam Blakeslee, and had more discussions on the State budget.
We saw Sam Blakeslee briefly on our way out of the Capitol. Now getting to our hotel rooms, to drop bags before we head to Chops Restaurant and Bar for drinks.

Talking with Senator Abel Maldonado.

Ruth Coleman talks about cuts being proposed for State Parks.

Chamber members at the Capitol.
Jon asks why it costs $48k in CA per year in incarcerate an inmate while it costs, $29k per year in other states. Jon says this is a deal cut by Gray Davis.

Jon Coupal, President of the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association talks to Chamber representatives about taxes, and their opposition to Proposition 1A.

Cathy Mesch from CalChamber discusses the state budget and job killer bills pending in California.

Mike Madrid discusses the dire condition of the state budget, and the proposals to borrow money from cities to address the budget.

Lunch time, and time for meetings with the Cal Chamber, and League of Cities.
The meeting with Steve Poizner got the group buzzing. What will solve the problems we have in California?

That say's a lot . . .

Walking past the capitol.
We have arrived in Sacramento. The first meeting is with Steve Poizner, Insurance Commissioner.
Fueling in Kettleman City . . .
Alarm clock goes off . . . it must be time for the SLO Chamber Legislative trip to Sacramento!

Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Countdown to Sacramento . . .

This time next week, we will winding the SLO Chamber Legislative trip to Sacramento down. Between now and them, the chamber staff will be in Washington, D.C. on a lobbying trip relative to the card check legislation, and helping to run a board training session in Atascadero for chamber board members across the area. So, it's going to be an intense few days for the staff.

I am off to science camp with the 5th graders, so I am not sure which of us will be more tired by Monday.

In Sacramento, we will be meeting with Assemblyman Sam Blakeslee (now Minority Leader), Senator Abel Maldonado, State Parks Director Ruth Coleman, Insurance Commissioner and 2010 Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Poizner, State Controller John Chiang and others. So, it looks like Ermina Karim, Director of Governmental Affairs, has a terrific lineup of folks for us to talk to, and at a time when our state is in the midst of some historic issues.

It should be a good trip. We leave at 5:45 a.m. on Monday, June 8, 2009 . . .